And in what may be one of the best synopses of what problems the Biden-Harris ticket faces, Newt Gingrich nails it.
First the history. Gingrich writes:
As an observer of conventions and presidential campaigns going back to 1956, I am confident in predicting that this week’s Democratic National Convention will be the high-water mark before the collapse of the Joe Biden-Kamala Harris ticket.
As the ticket collapses, it will start to move into the 1972 George McGovern range of isolation from the American people. Ironically, the physical isolation of Biden over the last few months has slowed down the political isolation, which will presently occur.
Three factors will lead to the collapse of the Biden-Harris ticket over the next six weeks.
I’ve said something similar, commenting on my radio show that the “lockdown” backfired on the Democrats. While using the lockdown to hide Biden in a bunker, they accidentally showed what a real Biden rally would look like.
Now the three reasons. Biden begins:
First, Vice President Biden is clearly incapable of functioning as president. Every time he comes out from hiding in the basement, it is embarrassingly clear that he could not possibly negotiate with Chinese Communist Party General Secretary Xi Jinping or Russian President Vladimir Putin to any positive effect.
He is performing weaker and weaker with each passing week. Even when his campaign can control every aspect of his events or appearances, there is something pathetic about Biden’s inability to project strength or articulate any firm ideas.
Chris Wallace captured the absurdity of a presidential candidate trying to hide his way to the White House with a “basement strategy,” when he told Guy Benson, “It’s the damnedest thing I’ve ever seen.”
Gingrich goes on to reference various polls regarding Biden’s cognitive abilities and Trump closing the gap. Because America doesn’t trust Biden and they don’t trust Harris.
Now the second reason: Harris.
As a presidential candidate, Harris had wavered between embracing the most radical positions and then opportunistically changing to more moderate positions when she got blowback. She was as unreliable in her policy positions as she was in her attacks on Vice President Biden. She aggressively attacked Biden on four different occasions and has since repudiated her own words. If Biden is exhausted and hiding in a basement, his running mate is energetically bouncing all over the place with no consistency or reliability.
During the primary, Sen. Harris was at 15 percent support in July 2019. She then dropped as low as 3.5 percent support by November 2019, according to Real Clear Politics. Even in her home state of California, she had dropped to fourth behind Biden, Warren, and Sanders – and was only attracting 8 percent support from her own constituents before she dropped out. In fact, 61 percent of Californians thought she ought to drop out of the presidential race, according to a poll by the Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies for the Los Angeles Times.
The Democrats (and propaganda media) believe that she will be powerful in attracting the African American vote. This is undermined by the objective reality that in November 2019, after months of campaigning, a Quinnipiac University poll showed Harris was fourth in attracting Black voters. Biden had 44 percent, Sanders had 10 percent, Warren had 8 percent, and Harris was down to 6 percent of the Black vote. When Biden was drawing nearly eight Black votes for every vote Harris was getting, why would the Democrats think adding her to the ticket was a smart idea.
Reason three: Radicalism. Gingrich believes the public will see how radical Democrats have become.
Finally, as the depth of radicalism of the Biden-Harris platform and the Chuck Schumer-Nancy Pelosi legislative agenda become clear to the American people, they will be increasingly alienated from the new radical Democratic Party and its candidates. The increasing radicalism is already beginning to sink.
Importantly, the real danger to the Democratic ticket is not the general allegation that Biden-Harris is a radical ticket. The real danger to the Democrats is the item-by-item alienation of different groups of Americans based on adopting positions which please radicals but are deeply opposed by most Americans.
Biden is no longer a centrist. And Harris is politically schizophrenic. Gingrich summarizes with:
Now, the Democrats are trapped with a presidential candidate who 38 percent of the country thinks has cognitive issues and 59 percent believe will not be able to finish his first term in office. Meanwhile, his replacement is a proven incompetent as a campaigner and a textbook opportunist on core issues.